Current:Home > InvestHow to make sense of the country's stunningly strong job market -WealthConverge Strategies
How to make sense of the country's stunningly strong job market
View
Date:2025-04-18 09:24:40
The job market is defying all odds.
U.S. employers added 336,000 jobs in September, according to the Labor Department. That's about twice as many as forecasters were expecting.
The strong job growth is welcome news for anyone looking for work. But it could make the Federal Reserve's effort to bring down inflation harder.
Here are four things to know about the monthly employment snapshot.
The jobs engine is not slowing down
Instead of the slowdown that forecasters expected to see in the jobs numbers, hiring appears to be revving up. Not only did employers add an eye-popping number of jobs in September, but revised figures show that hiring was much stronger in July and August than had been reported.
Last month's job gains were broad-based with nearly every industry adding workers.
Restaurants and bars added 61,000 jobs in September and are finally back to where they were before the pandemic. Health care and education also added tens of thousands of workers last month. Even factories and construction companies continued to hire, despite the strain of rising interest rates.
The job market has implications for the Fed
The Federal Reserve is keeping a close eye on the job market as it tries to decide whether to raise interest rates even higher, in an effort to control inflation.
At its last meeting in September, policymakers appeared to be leaning toward one more rate hike this year in their quest to bring prices under control.
The strong September employment report could be a worry, but it may not be all bad from the Fed's perspective.
The main concern with hot labor market is that it could put upward pressure on wages, and threaten further inflation.
But despite the big job gains last month, wage growth remained modest. Average wages in September were up 4.2% from a year ago, and wages rose just 0.2% between August and September.
"Wage growth is cooling so this doesn't look like an inflationary job market," says Julia Coronado, president of MacroPolicy Perspectives. "It's kind of Goldilocks, actually."
The unemployment rate is still low
The unemployment rate held steady in September at 3.8%. While the jobless rate has inched up from earlier this year, it remains very low by historical standards.
The unemployment rate rose in August because hundreds of thousands of new people joined the workforce that month. That's a good sign because it suggests people are optimistic about their job prospects. And with more people working, the economy can grow without putting upward pressure on prices.
A cautionary note: the unemployment rate for African Americans rose last month from 5.3 to 5.7%. That could be a statistical fluke. The number has bounced up and down a lot in recent months. But it's something to keep an eye on.
Strike news won't show up until next month
This jobs tally was conducted in mid-September, just before the United Auto Workers strike began, so it doesn't reflect the 25,000 autoworkers who are on strike as of Friday morning, nor the several thousand additional workers who've been idled because of parts shortages tied to the strike.
The September snapshot was also taken before Hollywood writers ended their strike. Those changes could show up in the October jobs report.
veryGood! (9461)
Related
- Stamford Road collision sends motorcyclist flying; driver arrested
- Ohio Environmentalists, Oil Companies Battle State Over Dumping of Fracking Wastewater
- The EPA’s New ‘Technical Assistance Centers’ Are a Big Deal for Environmental Justice. Here’s Why
- Inexpensive Solar Panels Are Essential for the Energy Transition. Here’s What’s Happening With Prices Right Now
- Highlights from Trump’s interview with Time magazine
- Residents Oppose a Planned Lithium Battery Storage System Next to Their Homes in Maryland’s Prince George’s County
- Shell Sued Over Air Emissions at Pennsylvania’s New Petrochemical Plant
- How Daniel Ellsberg Opened the Door to One of the Most Consequential Climate Stories of Our Time
- Meta donates $1 million to Trump’s inauguration fund
- The Complicated Reality of John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette's Tragic, Legendary Love Story
Ranking
- Senate begins final push to expand Social Security benefits for millions of people
- Emily Blunt Reveals Cillian Murphy’s Strict Oppenheimer Diet
- EPA Proposes to Expand its Regulations on Dumps of Toxic Waste From Burning Coal
- Revisit Sofía Vergara and Joe Manganiello's Steamy Romance Before Their Break Up
- The FTC says 'gamified' online job scams by WhatsApp and text on the rise. What to know.
- RHONJ's Dolores Catania Reveals Weight Loss Goal After Dropping 20 Pounds on Ozempic
- Q&A: The ‘Perfect, Polite Protester’ Reflects on Her Sit-in to Stop a Gas Compressor Outside Boston
- Sofía Vergara Shares Glimpse Inside Italian Vacation Amid Joe Manganiello Breakup
Recommendation
Former longtime South Carolina congressman John Spratt dies at 82
Nina Dobrev Jokes Her New Bangs Were a Mistake While Showing Off Her Bedhead
California Bill Would Hit Oil Companies With $1 Million Penalty for Health Impacts
Score the Best Deals on Carry-Ons and Weekend Bags from Samsonite, American Tourister, TravelPro & More
Working Well: When holidays present rude customers, taking breaks and the high road preserve peace
Developer Confirms Funding For Massive Rio Grande Gas Terminal
See the Photos of Kylie Jenner and Jordyn Woods' Surprise Reunion After Scandal
How Daniel Ellsberg Opened the Door to One of the Most Consequential Climate Stories of Our Time